Conf = ACC ------ State =
Mascot = ------ Coach = kerGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 93.9649811 home-field advantage = -0.74 Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 206 H Northwestern Big Ten (15- 3, 97.8) 12-20 213 H Notre Dame ACC (12- 5, 94.5) 9-12 221 N Michigan Big Ten (12- 6, 95.7) 9-10 224 A Florida State ACC ( 4-12, 86.6) 19- 7 228 H Clemson ACC (14- 5, 96.0) 11- 9 304 A Duke ACC ( 9- 8, 93.3) 6-17 307 A California ACC ( 6-11, 86.7) 15- 8 312 H Harvard Ivy League ( 6- 9, 91.3) 15- 5 314 H Pittsburgh ACC ( 9- 7, 92.1) 12- 8 321 A North Carolina ACC (16- 1, 99.9) 12-21 326 H Stanford ACC (15- 4, 96.5) 13-11 330 A Albany America East (12- 5, 88.9) 22- 5 404 A Loyola (MD) Patriot (12- 7, 92.2) 11- 8 411 A Virginia ACC ( 8- 9, 93.4) 14-17 416 H Syracuse ACC (13- 5, 95.2) 7- 4 422 N Stanford ACC (15- 4, 96.5) 7-14 508 N Yale Ivy League (13- 4, 94.4)
PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction. N/A when ten | | goal limit is exceeded | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 206 H Northwestern 12-20 -8 -3 - -3.94 213 H Notre Dame 9-12 -3 0 - -3.25 221 N Michigan 9-10 -1 -1 0.78 224 A Florida State 19- 7 12 6 0.38 228 H Clemson 11- 9 2 -1 + 3.27 304 A Duke 6-17 -11 0 --- -6.93 307 A California 15- 8 7 6 0.51 312 H Harvard 15- 5 10 3 + 3.57 314 H Pittsburgh 12- 8 4 2 1.40 321 A North Carolina 12-21 -9 -6 -0.33 326 H Stanford 13-11 2 -1 + 3.77 330 A Albany 22- 5 17 4 + 2.63 404 A Loyola (MD) 11- 8 3 1 1.98 411 A Virginia 14-17 -3 0 - -2.88 416 H Syracuse 7- 4 3 0 + 3.52 422 N Stanford 7-14 -7 -2 -- -4.49UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 304 A Duke 6-17 -11 0 --- -6.93 422 N Stanford 7-14 -7 -2 -- -4.49 206 H Northwestern 12-20 -8 -3 - -3.94 213 H Notre Dame 9-12 -3 0 - -3.25 411 A Virginia 14-17 -3 0 - -2.88OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 228 H Clemson 11- 9 2 -1 + 3.27 312 H Harvard 15- 5 10 3 + 3.57 326 H Stanford 13-11 2 -1 + 3.77 330 A Albany 22- 5 17 4 + 2.63 416 H Syracuse 7- 4 3 0 + 3.52
RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Power Rating............. 93.97 Power Rank................. 18 SOS (PR) Rating.......... 84.84 SOS (PR) Rank.............. 2 SOS (RPI) Rating......... .6927 SOS (RPI) Rank............. 13 RPI Rating............... .6111 RPI Rank................... 19 Champ. Probability ...... 0.0 Championship Rank ......... 22 Selection sum ........... 59 Selection Rank ............ 17 Qual Win (PR) Rating..... -5. Qual Win (PR) Rank......... 20 Qual Win (RPI) Rating.... -25. Qual Win (RPI) Rank........ 27 PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals ..... 12.1 Ave Defensive Goals ....... 11.0 Wins/Losses(all )...... 9- 7 Ave Goal diff (all )..... 1.1 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 1- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... 17.0 Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 1- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... 17.0 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 3- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... 8.7 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... -2.3